Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002409 0.002562 0.002726 0.002914 0.003127 0.003361 0.003640
2024-10-27 0.002160 0.002367 0.002601 0.002887 0.003232 0.003644 0.004181
2024-11-03 0.001903 0.002123 0.002380 0.002707 0.003121 0.003642 0.004371
2024-11-10 0.001803 0.002048 0.002342 0.002732 0.003252 0.003947 0.005005
2024-11-17 0.001734 0.001999 0.002328 0.002779 0.003409 0.004305 0.005792
2024-11-24 0.001649 0.001923 0.002269 0.002757 0.003463 0.004520 0.006409
2024-12-01 0.001605 0.001894 0.002267 0.002809 0.003626 0.004922 0.007466
2024-12-08 0.001546 0.001839 0.002224 0.002798 0.003691 0.005174 0.008332
2024-12-15 0.001481 0.001773 0.002162 0.002751 0.003691 0.005313 0.009015
2024-12-22 0.001456 0.001759 0.002171 0.002808 0.003864 0.005795 0.010731
2024-12-29 0.001430 0.001741 0.002171 0.002851 0.004018 0.006277 0.012791
2025-01-05 0.001381 0.001689 0.002118 0.002808 0.004013 0.006430 0.013982
2025-01-12 0.001314 0.001612 0.002030 0.002705 0.003902 0.006356 0.014450
2025-01-19 0.001278 0.001577 0.002001 0.002698 0.003967 0.006698 0.016913
2025-01-26 0.001206 0.001488 0.001887 0.002544 0.003739 0.006309 0.015894
2025-02-02 0.001185 0.001471 0.001882 0.002570 0.003860 0.006796 0.019692
2025-02-09 0.001170 0.001462 0.001887 0.002613 0.004021 0.007443 0.026148
2025-02-16 0.001141 0.001431 0.001857 0.002593 0.004051 0.007743 0.031436
2025-02-23 0.001129 0.001425 0.001865 0.002640 0.004228 0.008549 0.047323
2025-03-02 0.001106 0.001401 0.001842 0.002631 0.004280 0.008987 0.064954
2025-03-09 0.001077 0.001367 0.001803 0.002589 0.004254 0.009151 0.081528
2025-03-16 0.001069 0.001365 0.001814 0.002640 0.004451 0.010230 0.218339
2025-03-23 0.001059 0.001358 0.001819 0.002679 0.004626 0.011359 18.843900